The Phillies are gearing up for 2025, and expectations are sky-high. The roster has seen changes after a rollercoaster 2024 season, and the numbers tell an intriguing story. Can the offense stay explosive? Will the pitching staff hold up over an entire season? Advanced stats and projections give us clues about what’s ahead.
With a competitive NL East race looming, the Phillies must maximize their strengths and minimize their weaknesses. Let’s break down the data and see if this team has what it takes to make a deep run.
Phillies’ 2024 Performance Recap
The Phillies wrapped up 2024 with a 95-67 record, clinching first place in the NL East. Their offense remained a powerhouse, ranking fifth in runs scored and seventh in home runs.
Bryce Harper delivered another strong season, hitting .285 with 30 home runs, while Trea Turner posted solid numbers but saw a decline in stolen bases, raising questions about his fantasy elite status.
Pitching was a strength, with Zack Wheeler leading the staff with a 2.57 ERA, but the bullpen struggled with consistency, especially in the postseason. The team lacked a reliable closer and got little production from Taijuan Walker as the fifth starter.
Looking ahead, the Phillies’ most significant needs include bullpen reinforcements and determining whether a young prospect or a free agent will fill the rotation’s final spot.
The infield remains solid, while outfield defense is still a concern. With some key offseason moves, Philadelphia will look to remain a contender. Bettors tracking MLB odds will watch closely to see if they can maintain their dominance in 2025.
Breaking Down the 2025 Lineup
The Phillies’ 2025 Top 30 Prospects list is again led by Andrew Painter, the team’s top pitching prospect. After missing two seasons due to Tommy John surgery, he’s set to return, with the Phillies carefully managing his workload to ensure he can contribute late into the season.
Beyond Painter, Aidan Miller (SS) and Justin Crawford (OF) headline the team’s top young hitters, reaching Double-A in 2024. Eduardo Tait (C) and Moisés Chace (RHP) round out the top five.
Notable risers include Aroon Escobar (2B/3B), who jumped to No. 13 after a breakout season in the Florida Complex League. At the same time, Griff McGarry (RHP) fell to No. 30 due to persistent control issues.
The Phillies boast a mix of power, speed, and pitching depth, making them an exciting team to follow. Fans tracking Top MLB Players to Watch This Week should keep an eye on these rising stars.
Pitching Rotation Analysis
The Philadelphia Phillies enter 2025 with a star-studded rotation led by Zack Wheeler, whom ESPN’s Buster Olney recently ranked as the best-starting pitcher in baseball. Despite finishing second in the 2024 NL Cy Young race behind Chris Sale, Wheeler’s dominance has been unmatched.
Over the past four seasons, Wheeler has posted a 2.92 ERA, averaging six-plus innings per start with an ERA+ of 141. In 2024, opponents hit just .192 against him, and he recorded 224 strikeouts in 200 innings. His 10.1 K/9 was the second-highest of his career.
The Phillies strengthened their rotation by acquiring Jesús Luzardo from the Marlins and expected Andrew Painter to join midseason. Wheeler’s ability to adapt, especially with his refined sinker, makes him an elite ace.
With a strong relationship with pitching coach Caleb Cotham and catcher J.T. Realmuto, Wheeler’s leadership will be crucial as the Phillies battle the Mets, Braves, and Dodgers for NL supremacy.
Advanced Projections
The Philadelphia Phillies enter 2025 as World Series contenders, with Bryce Harper and Zack Wheeler among the top candidates for significant awards.
Harper is in the second tier of NL MVP favorites, behind Shohei Ohtani (+145) and Juan Soto (+550). Despite missing 17 games in 2024, he posted 30 home runs, 87 RBIs, and 157 hits, finishing sixth in MVP voting. To claim his third MVP, he’ll need 100+ runs and an OPS over 1.000, benchmarks he hasn’t reached since 2021. With Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and Alec Bohm in the lineup, Harper has plenty of support to boost his case.
Meanwhile, Wheeler, coming off a 16-7 record with a 2.57 ERA, finished second in 2024’s Cy Young race. While he remains a strong contender, Paul Skenes (+200) is the favorite after an impressive rookie season. At 35, Wheeler remains dominant, ranking top 11 in WAR for five seasons. However, 2025 may be his best shot at winning before younger pitchers take over.
Over the past four seasons, Wheeler has posted a 2.92 ERA, averaging six-plus innings per start with an ERA+ of 141. In 2024, opponents hit just .192 against him, and he recorded 224 strikeouts in 200 innings. His 10.1 K/9 was the second-highest of his career.
The Phillies strengthened their rotation by acquiring Jesús Luzardo from the Marlins and expected Andrew Painter to join midseason. Wheeler’s ability to adapt, especially with his refined sinker, makes him an elite ace.
With a strong relationship with pitching coach Caleb Cotham and catcher J.T. Realmuto, Wheeler’s leadership will be crucial as the Phillies battle the Mets, Braves, and Dodgers for NL supremacy.
Advanced Projections
The Philadelphia Phillies enter 2025 as World Series contenders, with Bryce Harper and Zack Wheeler among the top candidates for significant awards.
Harper is in the second tier of NL MVP favorites, behind Shohei Ohtani (+145) and Juan Soto (+550). Despite missing 17 games in 2024, he posted 30 home runs, 87 RBIs, and 157 hits, finishing sixth in MVP voting. To claim his third MVP, he’ll need 100+ runs and an OPS over 1.000, benchmarks he hasn’t reached since 2021. With Trea Turner, Kyle Schwarber, and Alec Bohm in the lineup, Harper has plenty of support to boost his case.
Meanwhile, Wheeler, coming off a 16-7 record with a 2.57 ERA, finished second in 2024’s Cy Young race. While he remains a strong contender, Paul Skenes (+200) is the favorite after an impressive rookie season. At 35, Wheeler remains dominant, ranking top 11 in WAR for five seasons. However, 2025 may be his best shot at winning before younger pitchers take over.
Phillies’ Playoff Chances & Division Outlook
The Philadelphia Phillies enter 2025 with +1200 odds to win the World Series, ranking among the top contenders behind the Dodgers, Yankees, Braves, and Mets. The Phillies aim for a deep postseason run after falling short in the NLDS last season.
They hold +650 odds to make the World Series and +215 odds to win the NL East, trailing only the Braves. The Phillies' win total over/under is 91.5, reflecting their recent success with 90+ wins in back-to-back seasons.
Despite a strong roster, Philadelphia faces stiff competition, particularly from the Dodgers, their biggest World Series rival. The NL East race will also be challenging, with the Braves and Mets expected to contend.
The Philadelphia Phillies enter 2025 with +1200 odds to win the World Series, ranking among the top contenders behind the Dodgers, Yankees, Braves, and Mets. The Phillies aim for a deep postseason run after falling short in the NLDS last season.
They hold +650 odds to make the World Series and +215 odds to win the NL East, trailing only the Braves. The Phillies' win total over/under is 91.5, reflecting their recent success with 90+ wins in back-to-back seasons.
Despite a strong roster, Philadelphia faces stiff competition, particularly from the Dodgers, their biggest World Series rival. The NL East race will also be challenging, with the Braves and Mets expected to contend.
Injuries could impact their early-season odds, with Johan Rojas, Alex McFarlane, and Weston Wilson dealing with setbacks. However, with minimal roster turnover, the Phillies remain one of the strongest teams in baseball, capable of making another playoff push.
Phillies 2025: Built to Contend, But Is It Enough?
The Phillies have the talent, depth, and star power to chase a World Series, but challenges remain. Pitching looks strong, Harper aims for another MVP run, and prospects add intrigue. With fierce NL East competition, execution is key. Can they turn potential into a championship? Time will tell.
Phillies 2025: Built to Contend, But Is It Enough?
The Phillies have the talent, depth, and star power to chase a World Series, but challenges remain. Pitching looks strong, Harper aims for another MVP run, and prospects add intrigue. With fierce NL East competition, execution is key. Can they turn potential into a championship? Time will tell.
